Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	13:15	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	14:15	Fanatiz
Vietnam	01:15	TV 360


	Cajamarca		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.40	3.80
	1.78	3.55	4.3
	1.89	3.51	4.7
	1.88	3.35	4.17	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.65
	1.81	3.51	4.34	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.68)	3.45 ↓ (3.87)	4.28 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
51.2%

Draw
27%

Moquegua
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cajamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Cajamarca - Moquegua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Medina J. (G) 44. Gomez C. 21. Vega J. 95. Vilchez Y. 4. Soto J. 18. Orejuela J. G. (C) 25. Goyoneche P. 17. Palacios B. 11. Arrasco M. 31. Enciso S. 9. Cejas P.	1. Grados C. (G) 4. Perleche A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 15. Amasifuen N. 25. Chipao R. 8. Mejia C. 7. Lastre E. 10. Chavez N. 17. Zapata Y. 90. Collazos J.
Substitutes
12. Aspajo S. (G) 88. Aubert E. 27. Betancourt J. 13. Correa Flores C. A. 14. Gutierrez A. 77. Lugo J. 7. Pineau S. 6. Rasmussen M. 5. Suarez R.	11. Bryan Angulo 16. Davila A. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 24. Lecaros A. 88. Lopez Y. 22. Montenegro E. 20. Ramirez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Cejas P. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
67', Lastre E. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
72', Collazos J. ↓, Bryan Angulo ↑,
73', Chavez N. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
74', Enciso S. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
87', Arrasco M. ↓, Pineau S. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Bryan Angulo ⚽, Davila A. (A),

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 14th and 16th).

In recent outings, Cajamarca has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Moquegua is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Cajamarca for this game.

Confirmed absences for Cajamarca: Meza C. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Moquegua: Ramirez C. (Yellow Cards) Ruiz K. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cajamarca has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cajamarca against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	FC Cajamarca	14	3	2	9	21:32	-11	11
17	Moquegua	14	2	4	8	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
10.10.26	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Cajamarca - Cusco	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Los Chankas - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:5 ✺
28.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TLWLW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
08.10.26	Moquegua - Cienciano	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Juan Pablo II College - Moquegua	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Moquegua - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cusco - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Moquegua - Alianza Atlético	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
25.04.26	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1
Peruvian Liga 2
02.11.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:0
26.10.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1
06.09.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:1
02.08.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:0

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