Match Info

Liga 2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	ATV


	Cajamarca		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.3	3.45
	1.96	3.49	3.68	Watch
	1.91	3.36	3.57
	1.7	3.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	3.88 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
49.4%

Draw
26.7%

Moquegua
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Cajamarca - Moquegua Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cajamarca (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sandi M. (G)
16. Bernaola B.
7. Casquete A.
27. Chavez D.
22. Cuadros D.
25. Goyoneche P. (C)
20. Meza C.
13. Sanchez A.
26. Timana H.
30. Vega J. C.
12. Zeta H.
Substitutes
17. Guadalupe Q.
14. Jimenez J.
33. Leguia F.
3. Medina J. (G)
2. Merino B.
18. Mesias Silva P. C.
29. Ocas F.
4. Segura J.
8. Tello Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Chavez D. ⚽,
35', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Timana H. ⚽,
44', Centurion L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Cajamarca could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 2
26.10.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
26.10.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Unión Comercio - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Moquegua - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Moquegua - ADA Jaén	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
26.10.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1
06.09.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:1
02.08.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:0

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