Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.77	3.21	4.34
	1.61	3.85	5.06	Watch
	1.77	3.28	4.34
	1.55	3.8	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)	4.85 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
54.5%

Draw
26.5%

Moquegua
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

27.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-1%)

Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rabines M. (G) 72. Ascues A. 31. Caballero E. 9. Carando D. (C) 21. Cavero S. 8. Cornejo M. 5. Da Rosa F. 20. Paiva F. 27. Quispe J. 11. Rojas Castilla A. S. 4. Romero A.	29. Figueroa R. (G) 10. Chavez N. 90. Collazos J. 30. Granda J. (C) 6. Jimenez J. 28. Lopez J. 22. Montenegro E. 24. Moreno K. 14. Ramirez C. 18. Rodriguez L. 8. Sanchez D.
Substitutes
28. Correa M. 15. Grandez G. 14. Requena P. 50. Sanchez S. 90. Succar A. 1. Vargas J. (G) 18. Vasquez D. 16. Villamarin J.	17. Aguirre C. 11. Centurion L. 23. Jimenez J. 7. Lasso C. 4. Rivera B. 77. Ruiz K. 19. Santibanez S. 42. Uribe C. 49. Valladares G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', 🟨,
22', Jimenez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cavero S. ↓, Grandez G. ↑,
56', Quispe J. 🟨,
56', Lopez J. 🟨,
59', Jimenez J. ↓, Santibanez S. ↑,
59', Ascues A. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
63', Romero A. 🟨,
67', Carando D. ↓, Succar A. ↑,
67', Rojas Castilla A. S. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Sanchez D. ⚽,
85', Rodriguez L. ↓, Ruiz K. ↑,
85', Sanchez D. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
85', Lopez J. ↓, Aguirre C. ↑,
90', Ramirez C. 🟨,
90', Succar A. 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,
90+8', Ruiz K. 🟥,
90+14', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by César Vallejo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moquegua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, César Vallejo is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, César Vallejo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, César Vallejo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 2
02.11.25	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Comerciantes Belén - Universidad César Vallejo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWLTW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
02.11.25	Cajamarca - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Unión Comercio - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Moquegua - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Moquegua - ADA Jaén	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
21.09.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua	1:1
17.08.25	Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0

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