Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Bentín Tacna Heroica		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	2.52	3.1	2.58
	25.00	13.53	1.00	Watch
	2.43	3.14	2.63
	1.89	3.34	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (1.85)	5.3 ↑ (3.5)	2.64 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bentín Tacna Heroica
20.7%

Draw
26.4%

Universidad César Vallejo
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bentín Tacna Heroica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bentín Tacna Heroica's form might have worsened.

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad César Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (+29.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bentín Tacna Heroica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bentín Tacna Heroica - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pretel L. (G) 20. Aldo Olaya 28. Chavez L. 31. Enciso S. 30. Fajardo J. 29. Garcia J. 27. Kaufman M. 34. Malpartida M. 26. Rojas A. 2. Sainz O. 9. Torres M.	12. Rabines M. (G) 72. Ascues A. 31. Caballero E. 9. Carando D. 21. Cavero S. 8. Cornejo M. 5. Da Rosa F. 15. Grandez G. 17. Morales J. 27. Quispe J. 4. Romero A.
Substitutes
33. Chipana E. (G) 15. de la Cruz P. 13. Diaz L. 17. Flores K. 6. Leon P. 21. Montano C. 18. Ortega F. 7. Palomino K. 4. Pena E.	28. Correa M. 77. Cortez J. 14. Requena P. 11. Rojas Castilla A. S. 50. Sanchez S. 90. Succar A. 1. Vargas J. (G) 18. Vasquez D. 16. Villamarin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', 🟥,
38', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, ⚽,
64', 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, ⚽,
77', 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tacna Heroica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tacna Heroica will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tacna Heroica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Liga 2
07.09.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Bentín Tacna Heroica	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Bentín Tacna Heroica	4:2 ✺
02.08.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTTLW
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 2
31.08.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Bentín Tacna Heroica	4:2 ✺
27.07.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
09.08.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Bentín Tacna Heroica	4:2

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