Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Universidad César Vallejo		Sport Huancayo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.8
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.97	3.35	4.23
	1.94	3.26	4.23
	1.91	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.91	Watch
	1.94	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.3)	3.38 ↑ (3.29)	3.88 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
48.3%

Draw
27.6%

Sport Huancayo
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.9%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.

Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Huancayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad César Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Huancayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 18 - 90%). Huancayo will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for César Vallejo: 76.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 29. Loyola N. 19. Ascues C. 14. Cabello C. 5. Deneumostier A. 88. Ballon J. 10. Velez J. 8. Ysique F. 27. Ramirez A. 9. Paolo Guerrero 17. Mena Y. (C)	88. Pinto J. (G) 3. Minaya D. 4. Guti 2. Angeles H. 24. Perez A. 27. Perez Garcia M. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 10. Lliuya M. 20. Gomez R. 11. Ross C. 9. Cano L.
Substitutes
13. Barreto G. 7. Barreto O. 30. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 22. Flores F. 32. Madrid J. 20. Noronha O. 24. Olaya S. 6. Perea G. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 21. Rabines M. (G)	6. Aguirre J. 21. Benites Vargas L. E. 7. Carranza T. 29. Ccorahua A. (G) 28. Dioses D. 18. Espinoza Torres R. 15. Garro L. 19. Huaccha R. 8. Nunez J. 14. Viveros J.
Coaches
Mosquera R.	Valencia W.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 1.

Recent matches César Vallejo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Huancayo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match César Vallejo is a favorite.

Last 24 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 6 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27-25.

Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
02.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Cusco	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	4:0 ✺
02.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - FBC Melgar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTLW
- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.24	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Atlético	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Sport Huancayo - Cusco	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
18.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	1:1
24.06.23	Sport Huancayo - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
25.03.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	0:2
17.09.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	2:1
01.05.22	Sport Huancayo - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
18.10.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	0:0
09.05.21	Sport Huancayo - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0

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