The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Deportes 65.2%
Draw 21.4%
Sport Huancayo 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.5%
18.9%
9.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.3%
17.7%
9.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Deportes's form might have worsened.
Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Romero D. (G) 2. Fara C. 4. Santamaria A. 5. Di Benedetto M. 6. Castillo J. 24. Polo A. 16. Perez Guedes M. (C) 17. Concha J. 27. Carabali J. 20. Valera A. 19. Flores E.
12. Zamudio A. (G) 16. Falconi J. 26. Gaona M. 92. Murillo Y. 28. Rostaing J. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 8. Carabano D. 11. Sanguinetti J. 10. Lujan N. 23. Magallanes P. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
30. Alzugaray L. 26. Ancajima H. 29. Corzo A. 90. Gassama S. 33. Inga C. 99. Miguel Silveira 23. Murrugarra J. 77. Reyna B. 25. Vargas M. (G)
4. Barreda J. 7. Campodonico R. 21. Campos D. (G) 20. Canela Torres J. J. 15. Chavez A. 19. Huaccha R. 9. Martinez J. 70. Valoyes J. 38. Villar E.
Coaches
Cuper H.
Pellejero R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Valera A. ⚽, Carabali J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Santamaria A. ⚽, Flores E. (A),
60', Valera A. ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
61', Lujan N. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
65', Murillo Y. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
65', Mena Y. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Magallanes P. ⚽,
77', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Barreda J. ↑,
77', Magallanes P. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
80', Perez Guedes M. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
80', Flores E. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
85', Gassama S. 🟨,
87', Rostaing J. 🟨,
90', Murrugarra J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3.
Recent performances by Uni de Deportes have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Huancayo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Huancayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni de Deportes is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Rivera J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Fertoli H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Huancayo: Caballero F.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 1.7:0.4).