Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Huancayo (Huancayo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	12:45	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	13:45	Fanatiz
Vietnam	00:45	TV 360


	Sport Huancayo		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8
	1.43	4.33	5.50
	1.50	4.30	6.00	Watch
	1.32	5.36	10.34
	1.32	5.1	8.3	Watch
	1.27	5.3	10
	1.34	5.03	8.04	Watch
	1.33	5.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.67)	4.95 ↑ (3.85)	7.95 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Huancayo
69.2%

Draw
18.9%

Alianza Atlético
11.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Huancayo's performance.

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Atlético might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Huancayo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Atlético could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sport Huancayo - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Huancayo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sport Huancayo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zamudio A. (G) 16. Falconi J. 26. Gaona M. 70. Valoyes J. 2. Angeles H. 8. Carabano D. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 23. Magallanes P. 10. Lujan N. 11. Sanguinetti J. 97. Porozo D.	31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 16. Fernandez S. 2. Suarez R. 6. Lujan J. 19. Mendieta J. 25. Guzman W. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 10. Diaz G. 17. Penilla C. 29. Molina J.
Substitutes
7. Campodonico R. 29. Ccorahua A. (G) 17. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 19. Huaccha R. 9. Martinez J. 92. Murillo Y. 91. Quinonez A. 28. Rostaing J. 38. Villar E.	22. del Castillo J. 37. Delgado J. 8. Flores F. 24. Gordillo A. 27. Ingratti J. 20. Perez J. 21. Perleche E. 95. Prieto D. (G) 40. Quinones Goicochea J. J.
Coaches
Pellejero R.	Urciuoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Falconi J. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Lujan N. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A),
30', 3 - 0, Porozo D. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A),
37', 4 - 0, Carabano D. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A),
38', Carabano D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lujan J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
46', Lupu H. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
46', Molina J. ↓, Ingratti J. ↑,
51', 4 - 1, Penilla C. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Fernandez S. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
62', Porozo D. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
62', Carabano D. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
63', Perleche E. 🟨,
72', Salcedo R. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
72', Lujan N. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
78', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
78', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 2.

Huancayo has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Alianza Atlético shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Huancayo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Huancayo carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Alianza Atlético: Munoz A. (Yellow Cards).

Doubtful / questionable for Huancayo: Caballero F. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Alianza Atlético: Villegas J. C. (Knee Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Huancayo in today's match, at odds of 1.5.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Huancayo has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:22 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Huancayo against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 21:5 goals (averaging 2.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sport Huancayo	14	9	1	4	23:17	6	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
16.10.26	Sport Huancayo - Cusco	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Huancayo	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sport Huancayo - Sport Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWW
- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
18.10.26	Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes	1:4 ✺
11.10.26	Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético	1:3 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
06.10.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético	2:5 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
18.09.26	Alianza Atlético - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	4:1
18.07.25	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	0:0
07.02.25	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Atlético	2:1
05.08.24	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	1:1
23.02.24	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Atlético	4:0
31.07.23	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Atlético	2:0
25.02.23	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	4:2

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