The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Huancayo 56.6%
Draw 23.4%
Cusco 20%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.3%
23.8%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
23.3%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Sport Huancayo - Cusco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Zamudio A. (G) 16. Falconi J. 26. Gaona M. 70. Valoyes J. 2. Angeles H. 8. Carabano D. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 10. Lujan N. 23. Magallanes P. 11. Sanguinetti J. 97. Porozo D.
28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 6. Ampuero A. 2. Gamarra C. 3. Lagos R. 55. Montano C. 14. Diez C. 88. Soto D. 10. Colman I. (C) 99. Miguel Silveira 9. Callejo F.
Substitutes
4. Barreda J. 29. Ccorahua A. (G) 17. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 19. Huaccha R. 9. Martinez J. 92. Murillo Y. 91. Quinonez A. 28. Rostaing J. 38. Villar E.
37. Choi G. 22. Colitto L. 77. Herrera Joel 7. Manzaneda J. 24. Ruidias M. 26. Silva N. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O. 13. Vidal A. (G)
Coaches
Pellejero R.
Rabanal J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Valoyes J. (Own goal),
32', Lagos R. 🟨,
36', Zevallos J. 🟨,
45+3', Angeles H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Miguel Silveira ↓, Silva N. ↑,
55', Montano C. ↓, Colitto L. ↑,
58', Carabano D. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Lujan N. ⚽,
74', Salcedo R. 🟨,
74', Diez C. ↓, Choi G. ↑,
75', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
75', Zevallos J. ↓, Ruidias M. ↑,
76', Porozo D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
76', Salcedo R. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
77', Quinonez A. 🟨,
80', Tevez J. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Silva N. 🟨,
85', Soto D. 🟨,
85', Magallanes P. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
85', Lujan N. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Sanguinetti J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 1.
Huancayo arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Cusco has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Huancayo is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Huancayo: Campodonico R.
(Red Card).
Confirmed absences for Cusco: Aucca M.
(Knee Injury)
Fuentes A.
(Red Card)
Quillahuaman S.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Huancayo: Caballero F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Cusco: Choi G.
(Injury)
Custodio A.
(Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Huancayo in today's match, at odds of 1.77.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Huancayo has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:21 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Huancayo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).