Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Universidad San Martín		Bentín Tacna Heroica

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.20	3.60
	2.01	3.48	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.79)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	3.51 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
46.7%

Draw
27.3%

Bentín Tacna Heroica
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

28.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Bentín Tacna Heroica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad San Martín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Tacna Heroica could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Uni San Martín is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Uni San Martín has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Uni San Martín against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
06.10.26	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad San Martín	7:0 ✺
13.09.26	Universidad San Martín - Cantolao	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Unión Comercio - Universidad San Martín	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Universidad San Martín - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLW
- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Liga 2
08.10.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Estudiantil CNI - Bentín Tacna Heroica	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Santos	3:1 ✺
24.08.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Bentín Tacna Heroica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
14.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Universidad San Martín	2:0
27.04.25	Universidad San Martín - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1

Universidad San Martín - Bentín Tacna Heroica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide