Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 10

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Universidad San Martín		Comerciantes Belén

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.18	3.1	3
	2.27	3.15	3.26
	2.23	3.32	3.01
	2.18	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
41.7%

Draw
28.6%

Comerciantes Belén
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Comerciantes Belén have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cavagna A. (G) 18. Arteaga A. 8. Carranza T. 19. Chumpitaz I. 30. Cornejo S. 4. Cuba R. 16. Falconi J. 5. Flores B. 28. Huacachin D. 3. Minaya D. 10. Sanchez J.	1. Silva L. (G) 22. Aburto B. 28. Chipao R. 19. Dominguez J. 32. Flores A. 7. Hurtado C. 10. Lemos M. 11. Mena Y. 31. Navarro J. 5. Pinedo D. 33. Valdeblanquez J.
Substitutes
90. Alfageme A. 58. Aliaga J. (G) 17. Caicedo J. 6. Cortes S. 11. Matzuda M. 23. Vargas R. 13. Vega C. 39. Vera F.	27. Ferreira P. 8. Flores L. 13. Garcia A. (G) 30. Tuesta J. 18. Vasquez J. 17. Vela P. 9. Zambrano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Flores B. 🟨,
38', Aburto B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', Flores B. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽,
57', Sanchez J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
57', Arteaga A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Dominguez J. ⚽,
65', Falconi J. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
65', Cornejo S. ↓, Matzuda M. ↑,
71', Huacachin D. ↓, Reyes D. ↑,
74', Minaya D. 🟨,
75', 0 - 3, Hurtado C. ⚽,
78', Aburto B. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
84', Hurtado C. ↓, Tuesta J. ↑,
84', Mena Y. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
89', Navarro J. ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Uni San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Uni San Martín might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni San Martín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.25	Universidad San Martín - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Coopsol	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Santos - Universidad San Martín	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Universidad San Martín - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.25	Cantolao - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	3:2 ✺
18.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Coopsol	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
20.04.25	Comerciantes Belén - Universidad San Martín	2:1
04.07.24	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:1
12.05.24	Comerciantes Belén - Universidad San Martín	1:0
25.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:0

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