Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Boston River		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.25	2
	3.7	3.25	1.98	Watch
	4.2	3.33	2.02
	3.87	3.09	2.13	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.95
	4.15	3.44	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.56)	3.27 ↑ (3.06)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
24%

Draw
28.8%

OHiggins
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

30.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

31%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Boston River - OHiggins Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 2 - 25%). OHiggins will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OHiggins: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 23. Rivero M. 2. Sotto K. 13. Fernandez I. 14. Dafonte F. 32. Gonzalez Y. 26. Munoa F. 10. Amado A. (C) 21. Perez F. 8. Bonfiglio F.	31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 22. Robledo A. (C) 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. 11. Leiva J. 8. Felipe Ogaz 24. Gonzalez F. 14. Maturana M. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
25. Aguirre A. 9. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 30. Gonzalez M. 17. Haller R. 20. Hornos M. 29. Lima A. 3. Mancebo M. 28. Martinicorena F. 11. Ramirez G. 99. Reyna G. 6. Romero A.	23. Carreno D. (G) 20. Diaz L. 21. Garrido N. 26. Godoy R. 27. Movillo J. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 15. Rojas B. 28. Schamine B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.
Coaches
Ithurralde I.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Sotto K. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Munoa F. ⚽, Gonzalez Y. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Gonzalez Y. ⚽, Munoa F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Maturana M. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
46', Munoa F. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Vecino T. ⚽, Faundez F. (A),
61', Amado A. ↓, Haller R. ↑,
61', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Ramirez G. ⚽, Bonfiglio F. (A),
66', Leiva J. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
75', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
75', Felipe Ogaz ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
75', Perez F. ↓, Hornos M. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Castillo A. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
81', Schamine B. 🟨,
82', Ramirez G. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+2', Castillo A. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, OHiggins has had a series of home games.

OHiggins is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston River won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Boston River - Cerro	4:1 ✺
11.05.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Boston River - Millonarios	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Boston River - Central Español	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	OHiggins - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL
- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
16.05.26	OHiggins - Universidad de Concepción	0:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
10.05.26	OHiggins - Everton de Viña	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	OHiggins - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
03.05.26	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	OHiggins - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	OHiggins - Boston River	2:0

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