Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 6

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)


	Universidad de Chile		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6.5
	1.55	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.56	4.1	6.39
	1.5	4.4	5.96	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.5
	1.59	4.24	5.69	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	5.96 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universidad de Chile
61.7%

Draw
22.7%

Universidad de Concepción
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.8%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	45.5%	0%

Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 5. Ramirez N. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 17. Hormazabal F. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 14. Morales M. 19. Altamirano J. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 11. Eduardo Vargas	1. Silva S. (G) 5. Retamal D. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 3. Gonzalez L. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 21. Espejo J. 8. Mater F. 19. Mesias C. 7. Urzi A. 9. Barrea D. 10. Fuentealba J.
Substitutes
28. Arce A. 21. Diaz M. 32. Espinoza M. 6. Fernandez N. 26. Riquelme M. 24. Romero L. 15. Salomoni F. 1. Toselli C. (G) 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.	11. Diaz A. 16. Ogaz B. 2. Paez E. 14. Parra P. 35. Ramirez M. 25. Salgado H. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 6. Ubal B. 22. Uribe A.
Coaches
Meneghini F.	Real J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Aranguiz C. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Barrea D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramirez N. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
51', Barrea D. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
52', Silva S. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Eduardo Vargas ⚽, Hormazabal F. (A),
60', Mater F. 🟨,
67', Fuentealba J. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
73', Altamirano J. 🟨,
77', Morales M. 🟨,
82', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
83', Urzi A. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
84', Retamal D. ↓, Ubal B. ↑,
88', Altamirano J. ↓, Espinoza M. ↑,
90+5', Diaz M. 🟥,
90+5', Gonzalez L. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Uni de Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Universidad de Chile is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. De Chile	23	12	6	5	35:19	16	42
15	U. De Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18:40	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Chile
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.03.26	Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Huachipato - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTTL
- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
01.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Everton de Viña	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Universidad de Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
03.01.21	Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Concepción	2:0
29.10.20	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	1:0
16.03.19	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	2:1
23.09.18	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	3:1
29.04.18	Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Concepción	1:2
03.12.17	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	1:3
01.04.17	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	0:0

Upcoming Matches