The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 33.1%
Draw 30.2%
Deportes Copiapó 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
30%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
29.1%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad de Concepción's form might have worsened.
Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Copiapó's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Concepción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Copiapó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Copiapó Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Uni de Concepción (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Copiapó (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Copiapó (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Concepción (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Copiapó (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 18. Ubal B. 30. Retamal D. 8. Romo J. 10. Fuentealba J. 16. Ogaz B. 7. Molina S. 11. Gonzalez I. 28. Herrera I.
23. Fierro J. (G) 3. Salomon C. 4. Ortiz A. 5. Torres F. (C) 15. Santander J. 6. Zamorano C. 10. Mazurek F. 19. Espinoza Olave S. A. 28. Rios A. 7. Ross C. 9. Gallegos Panozzo M.
Substitutes
21. Benitez F. 6. Cordero R. 14. Medina C. 3. Meza I. 20. Molina L. 19. Olivares Alvarez R. I. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
18. Acosta B. 8. Coronel J. 21. Fernandez E. 14. Jones T. 1. Leyton R. (G) 24. Orellana R. 16. Osses B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Santander J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Gonzalez I. ⚽,
45', Gallegos Panozzo M. 🟨,
45+4', Torres F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ross C. ↓, Jones T. ↑,
55', Retamal D. 🟨,
57', Zamorano C. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
57', Mazurek F. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
68', Fuentealba J. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
73', Rios A. 🟨,
73', Espinoza Olave S. A. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,
74', Gonzalez O. 🟥,
76', Herrera I. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
81', Rios A. ↓, Osses B. ↑,
85', Jones T. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1.
Uni de Concepción is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Copiapó has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Copiapó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Watch
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Campestrini C. (G) 
Gonzalez O. (C) 
Acosta B. 
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