Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 19

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universidad de Concepción		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	3.00	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.10
	2.35	3.15	2.95	Watch
	2.31	3.37	3.28
	2.25	3.35	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.30	3.20
	2.15	3.20	3.11	Watch
	2.19	3.20	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.35)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	3.1 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
41.6%

Draw
28.4%

Deportes La Serena
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.4%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+2%)

Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (G) 21. Espejo J. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 6. Ubal B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 16. Ogaz B. 36. Suazo M. 8. Mater F. 10. Fuentealba J. 20. Rojas L. 18. Waterman C.	31. Tapia J. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 34. Rasso I. 33. Delgado R. 26. Dinamarca F. 23. Marin M. 4. Mac Allister F. 7. Oroz A. 14. Chamorro F. 10. Vargas J. (C) 9. Henriquez A.
Substitutes
3. Barbieri M. 11. Diaz A. 7. Gonzalez I. 17. Gonzalez M. 19. Mesias C. 14. Parra P. 5. Retamal D. 25. Salgado H. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)	37. Bitancurt A. N. 16. Gutierrez J. 28. Orellana J. 29. Pinto M. 11. Rubio D. 38. Saez I. (G) 27. Sepulveda C. 20. Velasquez M.
Coaches
Munoz C.	Gutierrez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Oroz A. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
25', 0 - 1, Henriquez A. ⚽, Pinto M. (A),
27', Marin M. 🟨,
31', Ogaz B. 🟨,
45+3', Pinto M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Suazo M. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Delgado R. ⚽, Chamorro F. (A),
62', Espejo J. ↓, Mesias C. ↑,
63', Ogaz B. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
66', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
69', Henriquez A. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
73', Fuentealba J. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
77', Mater F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
78', Pinto M. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Deportes La Serena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Uni de Concepción has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	La Serena	23	7	9	7	34:38	-4	30
15	U. De Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18:40	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
04.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Curicó Unido	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
08.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	3:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Cobreloa - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Antofagasta	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
22.02.26	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción	1:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.08.24	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	0:1
06.04.24	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
11.08.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	2:0
27.03.23	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
Chilean Cup
25.06.22	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción	1:2
18.06.22	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	4:3

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