The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Luis de Quillota 46.7%
Draw 28.2%
Universidad de Concepción 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
26.9%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
26%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Luis de Quillota's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Luis de Quillota that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
San Luis de Quillota - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Uni de Concepción (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Concepción (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Retamal D. (G) 2. Navarrete J. 4. Osorio R. 6. Vergara C. 24. Ferreyra T. 16. Rodriguez A. 22. Bustos G. 30. Larrain M. 9. Carreno M. 11. Parada S. 20. Tarifeno R.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 3. Meza I. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 14. Medina C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 10. Fuentealba J. 16. Ogaz B. 22. Rojas L. 9. Levato M. 11. Gonzalez I. 25. Salgado H.
Substitutes
10. Cesped A. 17. Flores F. 19. Molina N. 13. Munoz Alister N. 15. Retamales J. . Sarria G. 29. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)
21. Benitez F. 24. Canessa O. 6. Cordero R. 28. Herrera I. 7. Molina S. 30. Saez B. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Salgado H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Levato M. 🟨,
54', Tarifeno R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
54', Larrain M. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Molina N. ⚽,
60', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
63', 🟨,
72', Retamales J. 🟨,
72', Ogaz B. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
72', Levato M. ↓, Herrera I. ↑,
74', Osorio R. ↓, Munoz Alister N. ↑,
78', Salgado H. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
78', Rojas L. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
88', Parada S. ↓, Cesped A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 3.
San Luis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni de Concepción has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Uni de Concepción has had a series of home games.
San Luis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Luis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Watch
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Retamal D. (G) 
Ferreyra T. 
Molina N. 
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