Match Info

Date: 16 May 2022, Monday


	Santiago Morning		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.2	2.7	3.2
	2.19	2.95	3.15
	2.24	2.9	3.66
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.22	3.24	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.06)	2.95 ↓ (3.21)	3.24 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
41.1%

Draw
30.8%

Deportes Melipilla
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

30.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Morning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	53.3%	13.3%

Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Santiago Morning will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Melipilla will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santiago Morning will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
11.05.22	Deportes Copiapó - Santiago Morning	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Morning	2:3 ✺
25.04.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Magallanes	2:3 ✺
19.04.22	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLT
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.05.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
29.04.22	Deportes Melipilla - Barnechea	2:1 ✺
25.04.22	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.12.20	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	0:3
05.10.20	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning	1:1
24.08.19	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning	3:1
16.02.19	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	3:2
04.08.18	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning	0:1
27.02.18	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	3:2

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