Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	GOL Peru
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Universitario de Deportes		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.17	6.5	11.5
				Watch
	1.17	7.67	12.5
				Watch
	1.18	6.5	13
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.11)	6.89 ↓ (8.7)	12.33 ↓ (22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
79%

Draw
13.5%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.9%

10.8%

4.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Deportes's form might have worsened.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Britos S. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 18. Urena R. 16. Perez M. 24. Polo A. 27. Carabali J. 10. Calcaterra H. 20. Valera A. 19. Flores E.	1. Ynamine P. (G) 26. Iraola G. 33. Otavio Gut 50. Ramos C. (C) 14. Guevara B. 21. Aoki A. 7. Espinoza Vega F. E. 38. Sernaque J. 8. Lliuya M. 22. Campodonico R. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
17. Concha J. 8. Costa G. 15. Diego Churin 55. Dulanto G. 33. Inga C. 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 25. Vargas M. (G)	3. Ampuero A. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 20. Gomez R. 19. Mendieta J. 10. Oliva E. 9. Pereira G. 28. Perleche A. 15. Ramirez N. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O.
Coaches
Bustos F.	Cominges P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Flores E. ⚽, Polo A. (A),
12', Sernaque J. 🟨,
39', Carabali J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Flores E. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Diego Churin ⚽, Valera A. (A),
61', Calcaterra H. ↓, Concha J. ↑,
61', Valera A. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
66', Urena R. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Rivera J. ⚽, Polo A. (A),
72', Lliuya M. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
72', Guevara B. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
72', Sernaque J. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
72', Carabali J. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
82', Diego Churin (Pen),
84', Ramos C. 🟨,
85', 4 - 0, Diego Churin (Pen),
86', Espinoza Vega F. E. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
86', Mena Y. ↓, Pereira G. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Uni de Deportes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uni de Deportes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Uni de Deportes is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uni de Deportes won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Uni de Deportes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
15.02.25	Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.01.25	Universitario de Deportes - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
Friendly
24.01.25	Universitario de Deportes - Panama	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Once Caldas - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTWL
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1
23.02.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADT Tarma	2:3 ✺
17.02.25	Ayacucho - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sporting Cristal	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
13.10.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	3:0 ✺
09.10.24	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
23.09.21	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes	0:4
31.10.20	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes	0:1
07.09.20	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2
08.09.19	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes	0:1
23.03.19	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:1

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