Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco)


	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.01
	2.2	3.5	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 (2.2)	3.5 (3.5)	3.01 (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
42.4%

Draw
26.6%

ADT Tarma
31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for ADT Tarma have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADT Tarma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7).

Recent form of Alianza Universidad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ADT is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alianza Universidad might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)

There will not play in ADT: Cedron V. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

ADT Tarma - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.98%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1
14.10.25	FBC Melgar - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	5:1 ✺
26.09.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys	2:3 ✺
18.09.25	Atlético Grau - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
12.10.25	Ayacucho - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
30.09.25	Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	Cusco - ADT Tarma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
31.07.25	ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:3
23.02.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADT Tarma	2:3

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