The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Comerciantes Unidos 22.7%
Draw 30.2%
Universitario de Deportes 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.3%
26.8%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.9%
26.2%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Unidos's performance.
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Unidos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 40. Alcedo F. 30. Guzman P. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Cossio A. 18. Rodriguez A. 4. Arias A. (C) 20. Parodi J. 50. Olivares J. 25. Vilca R. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M.
25. Vargas M. (G) 24. Polo A. (C) 2. Fara C. 4. Santamaria A. 5. Di Benedetto M. 33. Inga C. 16. Perez Guedes M. 6. Castillo J. 99. Miguel Silveira 30. Alzugaray L. 20. Valera A.
Substitutes
8. Ayovi W. 7. Carranza M. 99. Charun J. (G) 5. Correa Flores C. A. 16. F. Rojas 11. Herrera J. 14. Salinas T. 9. Sen M. 2. Vilchez Y.
26. Ancajima H. 10. Calcaterra H. 27. Carabali J. 29. Corzo A. 19. Flores E. 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 1. Romero D. (G)
Coaches
Biaggio C.
Rabanal J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Valera A. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
60', Olivares J. ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
68', Perez Guedes M. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
68', Castillo J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
68', Inga C. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
74', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
74', Rodriguez A. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
79', Alzugaray L. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
80', Calcaterra H. 🟨,
84', Alcedo F. 🟨,
90+1', Parodi J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑,
90+1', Arias A. ↓, Correa Flores C. A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 0.
Recent performances by Comerciantes Unidos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Uni de Deportes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni de Deportes is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: F. Rojas
(Elbow Injury)
Villete A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Reyna B.
(Inactive)
Riveros W.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Gassama S.
(Muscle Injury)
Miguel Silveira
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:31. (average 0.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
Peru
Usa
Watch
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Cordova M. (G) 
Rodriguez J. 
Rodriguez A. 
Vargas M. (G) 
Miguel Silveira 
Ayovi W. 
Rabanal J. 
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