The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Sucre 43.2%
Draw 27.2%
Oriente Petrolero 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
28.3%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
29.9%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Sucre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Sucre's performance.
Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
Universitario de Sucre - Oriente Petrolero Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Universitario will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Universitario won 1.
Universitario has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Oriente Petrolero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Universitario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Universitario have a series of guest games.
Universitario will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 30 head-to-head matches Universitario won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 30-38.
Including matches at home between the teams Universitario won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-14.