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Current Win Probability
Nacional Potosí 68.1%
Draw 19.3%
Oriente Petrolero 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
20%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.9%
19.5%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nacional Potosí will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 21. Baldomar O. 3. Amarilla N. 6. Restrepo E. 16. Torrico A. 22. Hoyos D. 18. Azogue P. 15. Arce Pari J. 19. Nunez M. 29. Alvarez W. (C) 28. Palacio D.
12. Cardenas L. (G) 36. Diez R. 55. Vaca P. 3. Alvarez S. 4. Rodriguez D. 28. Bonilla M. 26. Cuellar V. 19. Vaca H. 10. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 27. Abastoflor C. 91. Alvarez G. (C)
Substitutes
4. Daza Gutierrez A. 27. Garcia A. 14. Guerra J. 17. Guerra S. 5. Mancilla D. 10. Mansilla A. 1. Mustafa S. (G) 8. Pavia L. 25. Payares M. 2. Quiroz K. 7. Torres S. 24. Zeballos L.
21. Anagua Suruby R. S. 7. Arabe C. 22. Arauz J. (G) 53. Bailaba A. A. C. 18. Cabrera D. 31. Galvez V. 87. Melean A. 56. Nino De Guzman A. 29. Rojas J. 50. Tomianovic M. 52. Velasco M.
Coaches
Eguez L.
Pena A. G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Hoyos D. (Own goal),
33', Cardenas L. 🟨,
34', Vaca H. 🟨,
34', Alvarez G. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
45+3', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Palacio D. ⚽, Torrico A. (A),
63', Azogue P. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
71', Vaca H. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
72', Hoyos D. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
73', Nunez M. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
78', Vaca P. 🟥,
80', Alvarez G. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
80', Abastoflor C. ↓, Nino De Guzman A. ↑,
81', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Melean A. ↑,
85', Palacio D. ↓, Mansilla A. ↑,
85', Baldomar O. ↓, Zeballos L. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽, Guerra S. (A),
90+1', Alvarez S. ↓, Bailaba A. A. C. ↑,
90+4', Bailaba A. A. C. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 3.
Nacional Potosí is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Oriente Petrolero's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Nacional Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nacional Potosí is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:10. (average 2.8:1.1).
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Galindo P. (G) 
Amarilla N. 
Restrepo E. 
Nunez M. 
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