Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Bel D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 12
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 12
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Universitatea Craiova		Mainz

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.8
	4.15	3.7	1.78
	4.26	3.87	1.83
	4.26	3.76	1.79	Watch
	4.47	3.74	1.85
	4.2	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.25)	3.75 (3.75)	1.81 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
22.2%

Draw
25.3%

Mainz
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

25.3%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.2%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	13%	82.6%

Universitatea Craiova - Mainz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mainz (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mainz will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Isenko P. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 28. Rus A. 6. Screciu V. 19. Mogos V. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 8. Baluta T. 11. Bancu N. (C) 20. Cicaldau A. 10. Baiaram S. 39. Nsimba S.	27. Zentner R. (G) 31. Kohr D. 16. Bell S. 25. Hanche-Olsen A. 30. Widmer S. (C) 15. Maloney L. 10. Amiri N. 22. Veratschnig N. 37. Bobzien B. 9. Nordin A. 14. Boving W.
Substitutes
9. Al Hamlawi A. 15. Badelj J. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 12. Etim M. 14. Houri L. 1. Lung S. Jr. (G) 30. Matei D. 21. Popescu L. (G) 2. Stefan F. 24. Stevanovic N. 23. Teles	33. Batz D. (G) 21. da Costa D. 42. Gleiber D. 17. Hollerbach B. 24. Kawasaki S. 7. Lee Jae-Sung 8. Nebel P. 48. Potulski K. 1. Riess L. (G) 6. Sano K. 11. Sieb A. 44. Weiper N.
Coaches
Coelho F.	Henriksen B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Bell S. 🟨,
24', Zentner R. ↓, Riess L. ↑,
41', Rus A. 🟨,
45+4', Baiaram S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bell S. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
57', Amiri N. 🟨,
61', Nordin A. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
61', Bobzien B. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,
64', Baiaram S. ↓, Etim M. ↑,
64', Nsimba S. ↓, Al Hamlawi A. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. (Pen),
74', Bancu N. 🟨,
75', Maloney L. ↓, Sano K. ↑,
82', Cicaldau A. ↓, Teles ↑,
82', Baluta T. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
90+2', Isenko P. 🟨,
90+2', Henriksen B. 🟨,
90+4', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,

Preview

Uni Craiova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mainz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Mainz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Mainz is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Uni Craiova: Mora C. (Muscle Injury) Paradela L. (Inactive) Radulescu M. (Knee Injury) Screciu V. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
21.11.25	Argeș Pitești - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Rapid Wien - Universitatea Craiova	0:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
02.11.25	Universitatea Craiova - Rapid Bucureşti	2:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
29.10.25	Sănătatea Servicii Publice Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWTW
- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
21.11.25	Mainz - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Mainz - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Mainz - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Mainz - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWTL

Upcoming Matches