Match Info

IRELAND: FAI Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: UCD Bowl (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	University College Dublin		Bohemians Dublin

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.49
	5.5	4	1.5
	5.76	4.15	1.54
	5.74	3.94	1.57	Watch
	5.8	4	1.44
	6.02	3.86	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (4.62)	3.98 ↑ (3.6)	1.51 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University College Dublin
16.2%

Draw
23%

Bohemians Dublin
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

26.5%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

33.5%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bohemians Dublin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bohemians Dublin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

University College Dublin - Bohemians Dublin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moore K. (G) 4. Clancy E. 26. O'Regan L. 18. Holohan N. 3. Wells A. 7. McCullagh M. 8. Finn R. (C) 24. Verdon A. 34. Brennan A. 9. Raggett M. 29. Doyle J.	99. Chorazka K. (G) 2. Smith L. 24. Byrne C. 20. Kavanagh L. 3. Kirk P. 26. Tierney R. 6. Flores J. (C) 23. Meekison A. 8. Rooney D. 15. Clarke J. 12. Grant D.
Substitutes
10. Behan C. 19. Bolton C. 14. Curtis H. 2. Dunne A. 13. Higgins D. 16. Kavanagh D. (G) 31. Mohan S. 22. Norval S. 30. Parker H.	11. Akintunde J. 33. Carroll J. 21. Greive A. 7. McDaid D. 18. McManus B. 14. McManus J. 19. Miller M. 38. Mills J. 1. Talbot J. (G)
Coaches
O'Connor W.	Reynolds A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCD won 0.

UCD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bohemians is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bohemians is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches UCD won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 16-41.

Including matches at home between the teams UCD won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University College Dublin
Irish Division 1
06.09.24	University College Dublin - Cork City	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Kerry - University College Dublin	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	2:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.08.24	Sligo Rovers - University College Dublin	0:2 ✺
Irish Division 1
09.08.24	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 LWWWW
- Bohemians Dublin
Irish Premier Division
06.09.24	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Bohemians Dublin - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
18.08.24	Kerry - Bohemians Dublin	2:3 penalties ✺
Irish Premier Division
09.08.24	Bohemians Dublin - Waterford	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
12.10.23	University College Dublin - Bohemians Dublin	1:2
28.07.23	Bohemians Dublin - University College Dublin	2:0
28.04.23	University College Dublin - Bohemians Dublin	1:1
17.03.23	Bohemians Dublin - University College Dublin	2:1
30.09.22	Bohemians Dublin - University College Dublin	1:0
07.07.22	University College Dublin - Bohemians Dublin	1:3
29.04.22	Bohemians Dublin - University College Dublin	3:0

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