Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Mounthawk Park (Tralee)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Kerry		University College Dublin

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.30	2.35
	2.55	3.20	2.40
	2.70	3.70	2.54
	2.59	3.42	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.50
	2.56	3.26	2.42
	2.55	3.25	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.82)	3.37 ↑ (3.27)	2.44 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kerry
35.4%

Draw
27.1%

University College Dublin
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

27.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Kerry - University College Dublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kerry will win (votes: 1 - 25%). UCD will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Connor M. (G) 3. O'Connell S. 23. Perez R. 14. Hakkinen J. 7. McGrath S. (C) 41. Bargary C. 24. Borden V. 29. Lee E. 28. Brookwell N. 18. Aladesanusi S. 17. Brosnan C.	16. Douglas N. (G) 2. Murphy S. 3. Cailloce L. 5. Lennox C. 6. Wells A. 7. McCullagh M. 8. Dignam L. 15. Akinrintayo C. 21. Ogbonna G. 27. Sheeran E. 11. Smith H.
Substitutes
26. Britton M. 51. Campbell 44. Halwax H. (G) 35. Healy A. 38. Healy C. 34. Keane R. 8. Luchinger S. 37. McCormack C.	12. Alonge M. 20. Andrade K. (G) 19. Bolton C. 26. Costello D. 13. Goad J. 25. Lavin G. 31. Mohan S. 22. Morley T. 24. Norval S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Akinrintayo C. ⚽,
44', Akinrintayo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Brookwell N. ⚽,
59', Lee E. 🟨,
60', McCullagh M. 🟨,
69', Akinrintayo C. ↓, Goad J. ↑,
69', Ogbonna G. ↓, Mohan S. ↑,
72', Borden V. ↓, Healy A. ↑,
72', Brosnan C. ↓, Healy C. ↑,
76', Goad J. 🟨,
79', McGrath S. ↓, Keane R. ↑,
83', Perez R. ↓, Britton M. ↑,
84', McCullagh M. ↓, Norval S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, UCD has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kerry won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	UC Dublin	34	15	7	12	61:48	13	52
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48

Last Results with these Odds

Kerry - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.5%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

University College Dublin - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.42%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.26	Sligo Rovers - Kerry	4:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Cork City - Kerry	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Kerry - Cobh Ramblers	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	0:4 ✺
24.07.26	Kerry - Finn Harps	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWW
- University College Dublin
Irish FAI Cup
14.08.26	University College Dublin - Derry City	1:2 ✺
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	University College Dublin - Wexford	4:1 ✺
03.08.26	University College Dublin - Treaty United	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	University College Dublin - Cork City	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
19.06.26	University College Dublin - Kerry	0:1
10.04.26	Kerry - University College Dublin	1:1
13.02.26	University College Dublin - Kerry	2:1
19.09.25	University College Dublin - Kerry	2:1
25.07.25	Kerry - University College Dublin	0:3
02.05.25	University College Dublin - Kerry	0:1
28.03.25	Kerry - University College Dublin	0:1

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