Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 14

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	University of Pretoria		Leruma United

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.45	5.8
	1.6	3.59	5.82
	1.56	3.53	6.05
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.53	3.58	6.02
	1.57	3.45	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)	3.49 ↑ (3.44)	5.78 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University of Pretoria
58.2%

Draw
26.1%

Leruma United
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

26.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

16.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University of Pretoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leruma United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University of Pretoria than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with University of Pretoria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leruma United than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leruma United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

University of Pretoria - Leruma United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Marebane K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of Pretoria FC
South African First Division
07.12.24	Casric Stars - University of Pretoria	1:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
04.12.24	University of Pretoria - Hungry Lions	0:1 ✺
South African First Division
01.12.24	University of Pretoria - Black Leopards	4:3 ✺
24.11.24	Kruger United - University of Pretoria	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	University of Pretoria - Venda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLT
- Leruma United
South African First Division
07.12.24	Durban City - Leruma United	3:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
04.12.24	Leruma United - Pretoria Callies	0:1 ✺
South African First Division
01.12.24	Leruma United - Hungry Lions	2:3 ✺
24.11.24	Leruma United - Highbury	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Baroka - Leruma United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL

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