Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 10

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Paulista		Francana

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.35	5.35
	1.49	3.59	6.39
	1.53	3.56	6.38	Watch
	1.53	3.3	6
	1.68	3.45	5.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)	5.92 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulista
58.2%

Draw
26.4%

Francana
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

19.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paulista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paulista - Francana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Christopher ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 2 - 1, Bozzolan Gabriel ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Anderson ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13).

In recent matches, Paulista has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Francana is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Francana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paulista is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
25.02.26	Rio Preto - Paulista	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Paulista - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	XV de Jaú - Paulista	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Paulista - Desportivo Brasil	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Paulista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
25.02.26	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bandeirante - Francana	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	União Barbarense - Francana	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Francana - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Paulista - Francana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide