Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo da Portela (Santa Catarina da Serra)


	União da Serra		Peniche

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	4.05
	1.79	3.21	4.09
	1.80	3.37	4.16	Watch
	1.8	3	4
	1.78	3.24	4.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	4.13 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União da Serra
50.1%

Draw
28.1%

Peniche
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

União da Serra - Peniche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+9', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 8).

União da Serra is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peniche is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, União da Serra has had a series of away games.

In this match, União da Serra is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, União da Serra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Uniao Da Serra	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - União da Serra	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Os Marialvas - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	União da Serra - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	SC Lusitânia - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lajense - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWW
- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.04.26	Peniche - SB Castelo Branco	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Samora Correia - Peniche	5:2 ✺
22.03.26	Eléctrico - Peniche	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Peniche - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Os Marialvas - Peniche	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.12.25	Peniche - União da Serra	3:2

União da Serra - Peniche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide