Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid B		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.1	6.5
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.41	4.1	6.4
	1.42	4.14	7.66
	1.38	4	7.5
	1.39	4.25	7.2
	1.42	4.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	4.11 ↑ (3.5)	6.88 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
64.5%

Draw
22.2%

Diocesano
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

25.8%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

25%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid B's performance.

Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Atlético Madrid B - Diocesano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Atlético Madrid B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Diocesano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Diocesano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Diocesano have a series of home games.

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.11.22	Cacereño - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Atlético Madrid B - Villanovense	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Atlético Paso - Atlético Madrid B	2:4 ✺
23.10.22	Atlético Madrid B - Melilla	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWTL
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.11.22	Diocesano - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Diocesano - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	CD Guadalajara - Diocesano	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Diocesano - Socuéllamos	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Diocesano - Leganés B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWLLL

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