Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 33

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.8
	2.4	2.9	2.85
	2.43	3	2.91
	2.4	3.13	2.88
	2.37	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.81)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.86 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
38%

Draw
30.2%

Estepona
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

28%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Adarve's performance.

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estepona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Adarve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estepona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Adarve - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Estepona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.04.23	Atlético Madrid B - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Leganés B - Unión Adarve	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Unión Adarve - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
09.04.23	Socuéllamos - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Unión Adarve - Diocesano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTT
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.04.23	Estepona - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Socuéllamos - Estepona	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	Estepona - Diocesano	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Cacereño - Estepona	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Estepona - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.01.23	Estepona - Unión Adarve	3:1

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