Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 4

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia (Tarapoto)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)


	Unión Comercio		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.53	Watch
	5.25	3.7	1.53
	5.9	3.95	1.55	Watch
	5.8	3.85	1.54
	5.9	3.99	1.57
	5.5	3.7	1.5
	6.56	4.15	1.48	Watch
	5.6	3.85	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (3.56)	3.87 ↑ (3.31)	1.53 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Comercio
16%

Draw
23.8%

Alianza Lima
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

27.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Comercio's form might have worsened.

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrios I. (G) 31. Serra P. 20. Ramirez C. 3. Paredes T. 27. Trujillo L. (C) 25. Millan D. 5. Sanchez K. 17. Vargas D. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 10. Hernan Perez 9. de Jesus M.	12. De la Cruz A. (G) 27. Cabellos C. 6. Garces R. 2. Freytes J. 13. Lagos R. 5. Arregui A. 10. Rodriguez S. 8. Costa G. 26. Serna K. 9. Barcos H. (C) 30. Waterman C.
Substitutes
23. Alvarez J. 12. Diaz W. (G) 11. Guerrero G. 15. Jimenez O. 28. Labrin V. 4. Perez V. 14. Regalado I. 2. Salas J. 19. Uribe C.	4. Amasifuen N. 15. Castillo J. 11. D'Arrigo J. 20. Fuentes A. 25. Huaman M. 33. Mesias F. (G) 14. Moyano A. 16. Vivanco P. 7. Zanelatto F.
Coaches
Craviotto N.	Restrepo A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 0.

Alianza Lima is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alianza Lima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alianza Lima have a series of home games.

In this match Alianza Lima is a favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 25-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 1
12.02.24	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Unión Comercio - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2 ✺
29.01.24	Los Chankas - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLWL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
10.02.24	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.24	Alianza Lima - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
15.01.24	Alianza Lima - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
17.09.23	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	3:1
23.04.23	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	1:3
24.11.19	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	2:3
07.06.19	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	1:1
21.09.18	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	1:3
02.06.18	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	2:0
21.10.17	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	1:0

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