Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 1

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)


	Alianza Lima		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.25	5	Watch
	1.65	3.3	4.6
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.4	4.91
	1.69	3.64	5.24
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.73	3.37	5.18	Watch
	1.7	3.55	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.53)	3.45 ↓ (4.16)	4.9 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
54.5%

Draw
26.7%

Universidad César Vallejo
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Lima's form might have worsened.

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Saravia F. (G) 29. Ramos J. 20. Fuentes A. 2. Freytes J. 27. Cabellos C. 13. Lagos R. 5. Arregui A. 10. Rodriguez S. 26. Serna K. 30. Waterman C. 9. Barcos H. (C)	21. Carvallo J. (G) 19. Ascues C. 5. Deneumostier A. 29. Loyola N. 32. Madrid J. 88. Ballon J. 8. Ysique F. 7. Barreto O. 23. Da Silva P. 27. Ramirez A. 17. Mena Y. (C)
Substitutes
4. Amasifuen N. 15. Castillo J. 8. Costa G. 11. D'Arrigo J. 99. De la Cruz A. (G) 6. Garces R. 3. Vilchez Y. 16. Vivanco P. 17. Zanelatto F.	13. Barreto G. 44. Benavente C. 33. Benitez E. 14. Cabello C. 1. Grados C. (G) 20. Noronha O. 24. Olaya S. 6. Perea G. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Mosquera R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 3.

In this match Alianza Lima is a favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 26-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Club Friendly
21.01.24	Alianza Lima - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
15.01.24	Alianza Lima - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
08.11.23	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLTW
- Universidad César Vallejo
Serie Rio de la Plata
22.01.24	Defensor Sporting - Universidad César Vallejo	0:2 ✺
19.01.24	Unión Santa Fe - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
28.10.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cusco	3:1 ✺
20.10.23	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
29.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	1:0
11.05.23	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
04.10.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	3:2
14.05.22	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
29.08.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	0:1
24.04.21	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2
09.11.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	4:1

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