Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 10

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia (Tarapoto)


	Unión Comercio		Bentín Tacna Heroica

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.5	4.05	5.15
	1.57	4.13	5.39	Watch
	1.54	4	5
	1.5	4.05	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)	4.05 ↑ (3.67)	5.19 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Comercio
59.9%

Draw
22.5%

Bentín Tacna Heroica
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

23.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.

Bentín Tacna Heroica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bentín Tacna Heroica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Unión Comercio - Bentín Tacna Heroica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Quiroz R. (G) 18. Ayala J. 28. Jimenez O. 8. Marcos N. 15. Marines D. 3. Mena J. 4. Montoya C. 20. Morales G. 29. Perlaza V. 26. Reategui M. 7. Vargas C.	12. Pretel L. (G) 28. Chavez L. 31. Enciso S. 30. Fajardo J. 29. Garcia J. 27. Kaufman M. 37. Malpartida M. 7. Palomino K. 5. Ricra D. 22. Santillan Vargas E. M. 3. Suarez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Perlaza V. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Malpartida M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia J. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
46', Ricra D. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
46', Morales G. ↓, Velarde M. ↑,
46', Marines D. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
75', Perlaza V. ↓, Arrieta J. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Arrieta J. ⚽,
82', Fajardo J. 🟨,
86', 3 - 1, Mena J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Unión Comercio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tacna Heroica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tacna Heroica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Unión Comercio is a strong favorite.

We predict that Unión Comercio will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2
24.05.25	Deportivo Coopsol - Unión Comercio	3:4 ✺
18.05.25	Moquegua - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Cantolao - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Unión Comercio - Santos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW
- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Liga 2
01.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Deportivo Coopsol	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Universidad San Martín - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
18.04.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Unión Comercio	3:2

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