Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 18

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.25	3.45	2.9	Watch
	2.29	3.75	2.96
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.21	3.34	3.26	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	3.05 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
41.9%

Draw
27.5%

Deportes La Serena
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The chances for Deportes La Serena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Unión Española - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Unión Española (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra M. (G) 2. Contreras K. 3. Vidal V. 13. Pereira S. 18. Espinoza F. 29. Tamayo B. 10. Uribe A. 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 25. Castellani G. 9. Insaurralde C. 23. Jeraldino I.	1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 4. Rojas J. 2. Zanini A. 16. Gutierrez C. 23. Pinto M. 6. Diaz S. 10. Vargas J. 14. Chamorro F. 7. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 11. Henriquez A. 40. Herrera E.
Substitutes
4. Celis M. 11. Huerta R. 20. Marin M. 5. Nadruz A. 7. Ovelar F. 12. Uribe E. (G) 19. Vejar B.	12. Cerda F. (G) 26. Dinamarca F. 3. Ferreyra N. 29. Jhonatan Kauan 21. Ramirez M. 8. Rivera M. 15. Villarroel M.
Coaches
Ramirez M.	Paulucci C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Alarcon L. 🟨,
16', Zanini A. 🟥,
22', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Ferreyra N. ↑,
23', Chamorro F. 🟨,
34', Tamayo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Contreras K. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
46', Espinoza F. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
46', Tamayo B. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
49', Insaurralde C. 🟨,
66', Insaurralde C. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
70', Vargas J. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
70', Henriquez A. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Pereira S. ⚽, Aranguiz P. (A),
77', Uribe A. 🟨,
80', Jeraldino I. ↓, Nadruz A. ↑,
88', Gutierrez C. ↓, Dinamarca F. ↑,
89', Gallegos S. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 2.

Unión Española is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportes La Serena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Unión Española could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
27.07.25	Palestino - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Unión Española - Unión La Calera	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Unión Española - Universidad de Chile	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Unión Española - Coquimbo Unido	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	OHiggins - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
26.07.25	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Colo-Colo - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
16.07.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena	1:5 ✺
09.07.25	Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers	4:2 ✺
02.07.25	Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
01.03.25	Deportes La Serena - Unión Española	1:0
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Deportes La Serena - Unión Española	1:0
Chilean Primera Division
14.09.22	Unión Española - Deportes La Serena	0:1
15.04.22	Deportes La Serena - Unión Española	1:2
25.09.21	Unión Española - Deportes La Serena	2:1
24.04.21	Deportes La Serena - Unión Española	0:0
10.02.21	Unión Española - Deportes La Serena	1:1

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