The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 46.6%
Draw 27.2%
Los Chankas 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
28.6%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
27.9%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's performance.
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Universidad de Huánuco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Chankas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 28. Perleche A. 66. Fuentes P. 33. Otavio Gut 19. Mendieta J. 5. Ascues C. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 8. Lliuya M. 17. Mena Y. (C) 29. Escobar J.
29. Diaz W. (G) 4. Mogollon E. 2. Gonzalez H. 33. Pimienta C. 18. Takeuchi O. 31. Quintana A. 6. Guivin Tanta J. 5. Palomino J. 7. Manzaneda J. 10. Torres F. 9. Camargo I.
Substitutes
23. Barco J. 22. Campodonico R. 7. Gomez A. 14. Guevara B. 6. Ibarguen J. 26. Iraola G. 34. Saffadi D. 38. Sernaque J. 1. Ynamine P. (G)
27. Bueno P. 1. Camacho H. (G) 11. Espinoza Vega F. E. 26. Gonzales D. 8. Quiroz A. 38. Rivero B. 35. Sanchez K. 23. Torres S. 34. Vega R.
Coaches
Mosquera R.
Paolella W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Torres F. ⚽, Camargo I. (A),
26', Camargo I. 🟨,
35', Torres F. 🟨,
37', Gomez A. 🟨,
38', Canela Torres J. J. 🟨,
40', Quintana A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Perleche A. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
60', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
65', Torres F. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
65', Palomino J. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
65', Camargo I. ↓, Bueno P. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽,
78', Guivin Tanta J. 🟨,
81', Quintana A. ↓, Gonzales D. ↑,
81', Guivin Tanta J. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
83', Ascues C. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
90', Vasquez Ortega E. O. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Campodonico R. ⚽,
90+10', Campodonico R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2.
Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Los Chankas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Alianza Universidad is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).