Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Los Chankas		Comerciantes Belén

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.75	11.5
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.18	5.85	10.48
	1.17	6.3	11.5
	1.2	5.4	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.34)	5.66 ↑ (4.69)	10.6 ↑ (6.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
75.5%

Draw
16%

Comerciantes Belén
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

18.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Chankas's performance.

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Chankas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sotillo M. (C) 17. Casquete A. 15. Chavez A. 2. Gamarra C. 29. Labrin V. 11. Lopez C. 4. Mogollon E. 6. Palomino R. 25. Ramos L. 14. Robles A. 18. Takeuchi O.	21. Sanchez K. (G) 28. Chipao R. (C) 27. Cortes Armelo M. 19. Dominguez J. 5. Hoyos H. 31. Navarro J. 8. Pinedo B. 23. Reategui P. 12. Salas L. 13. Valdeblanquez J. 9. Zambrano J.
Substitutes
7. Benites A. 5. Diez P. 12. Izaguirre P. (G) 16. Martinez J. 28. Rengifo D. 27. Temoche D. 23. Vasquez J.	20. Correa G. 29. Correa R. 26. Guevara R. 34. Pinedo D. 37. Ramirez B. 16. Romero L. 17. Vela P.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Los Chankas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Los Chankas is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Los Chankas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Los Chankas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 2
11.10.23	Comerciantes Belén - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
27.09.23	Los Chankas - Pirata	11:0 ✺
20.09.23	Unión Huaral - Los Chankas	2:3 ✺
13.09.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Belén	5:0 ✺
07.09.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWL
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
11.10.23	Comerciantes Belén - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	Santos - Comerciantes Belén	Canceled ✺
02.10.23	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Belén	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 T?WWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
11.10.23	Comerciantes Belén - Los Chankas	1:1
13.09.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Belén	5:0
22.06.23	Comerciantes Belén - Los Chankas	0:0

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