Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Unión Magdalena		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.9	Watch
	2	3	3.75
	2.05	3.05	3.9	Watch
	2.13	2.99	4.13
	2.28	2.98	3.37	Watch
	2	3	3.9
	2.05	3.18	3.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.06)	3.03 ↓ (3.03)	3.83 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
44.8%

Draw
30.8%

Llaneros SA
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

29.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Murillo D. 3. Ramos N. 15. Urrego Hector 30. Mosquera D. 8. Colpa Bolano R. R. 24. Cantillo F. 11. Martinez M. 26. Tello J. 10. Sarmiento J. (C) 80. Hinojosa R.	1. Ortega M. (G) 31. Montes G. 20. Angulo J. 21. Meza F. (C) 16. Escobar Salcedo J. 6. Sierra M. 70. Goez Y. 10. Uruena B. 8. Lopez A. 7. Miranda L. 30. Cortes C.
Substitutes
7. Aleman J. 23. Congo J. 29. Contreras J. 20. Giraldo J. 12. Heredia D. (G) 27. Lerma J. 21. Marquez R. 6. Ortiz D. 5. Penaloza J.	18. Angulo 17. Benitez B. 24. Bodencer E. 23. Mina Chara J. E. 9. Rangel M. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 14. Sierra C.
Coaches
Garcia A.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Goez Y. 🟨,
7', Sierra M. 🟨,
15', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
24', Garcia J. 🟨,
25', Urrego Hector 🟨,
42', Goez Y. 🟨,
43', Ortega M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montes G. ↓, Mina Chara J. E. ↑,
55', Murillo D. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
55', Tello J. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
55', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
57', Cortes C. ↓, Bodencer E. ↑,
57', Miranda L. ↓, Angulo ↑,
71', Lopez A. ↓, Benitez B. ↑,
80', Uruena B. ↓, Rangel M. ↑,
80', Martinez M. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
84', Escobar Salcedo J. 🟨,
90', Garcia J. 🟥,
90+4', Ramos N. 🟨,
90+6', Lerma J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Llaneros SA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Unión Magdalena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
05.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	0:0 ✺
29.05.25	Real Santander - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLTWW
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
11.07.25	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
09.06.25	Llaneros SA - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
28.05.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0
Colombian Primera A
03.02.25	Llaneros SA - Unión Magdalena	2:0
Colombian Primera B
14.12.24	Llaneros SA - Unión Magdalena	1:1 penalties
10.12.24	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	1:0
03.12.24	Llaneros SA - Unión Magdalena	1:1
28.11.24	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	4:0
01.08.24	Llaneros SA - Unión Magdalena	1:1

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