Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 3

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros (Recoleta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Recoleta		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.7	1.5	Watch
	4.60	3.80	1.55
	5.15	4.05	1.55	Watch
	5.51	4.26	1.55
	18.38	8.87	1.10	Watch
	5	3.9	1.53
	5.91	4	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.15 ↑ (4.58)	4.65 ↑ (3.57)	1.46 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Recoleta
13.5%

Draw
20.7%

Colo-Colo
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

25.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

25.2%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Recoleta's form might have worsened.

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colo-Colo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colo-Colo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportes Recoleta - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vargas J. (G) 5. Alarcon F. (C) 21. Alvarez G. 10. Arguinarena M. 3. Arismendy N. 18. Cepeda C. 20. Gonzalez C. 7. Provoste B. 31. Quevedo S. 28. Rodriguez C. 19. Sanchez P.	25. Maureira G. (G) 6. Alarcon T. 8. Madrid A. 5. Mendez V. 10. Pastran L. 28. Rojas J. 19. Romero M. 4. Sosa J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 2. Villagra J. 21. Wiemberg E.
Substitutes
15. Baez F. 17. Carvajal N. 27. Flores F. 1. Montenegro C. (G) 33. Riveros R. 30. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 32. Valenzuela T. 16. Viveros B. 11. Viveros D.	34. Catalan R. 30. Cuevas Y. 13. Fernandez M. 24. Hernandez L. 7. Marchant F. 20. Mendez J. 50. Raipan F. 26. Ulloa D. 12. Villanueva E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Alarcon T. ⚽, Pastran L. (A),
33', Mendez V. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Vidal A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Madrid A. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Romero M. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Quevedo S. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
62', Alvarez G. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
62', Arguinarena M. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
64', Pastran L. ↓, Catalan R. ↑,
64', Mendez V. ↓, Cuevas Y. ↑,
70', Baez F. 🟨,
71', Arismendy N. ↓, Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↑,
72', Alarcon T. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
78', Provoste B. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez C. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
83', Romero M. ↓, Raipan F. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Recoleta have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Colo-Colo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colo-Colo is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.06.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis de Quillota	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTTLW
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Colo-Colo - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.05.26	Deportes La Serena - Colo-Colo	2:4 ✺
24.05.26	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

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