The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 31.4%
Draw 32.9%
Argentinos Juniors 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
31.8%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
33.3%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Santa Fe's form might have worsened.
Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
Unión Santa Fe - Argentinos Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 22. Gerometta F. 34. Pardo F. 3. Corvalan C. (C) 14. Pitton B. 7. Fragapane F. 8. Ham E. 28. Pitton M. 20. Palacios J. 21. Colazo A. 31. Estigarribia M.
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 20. Prieto S. 21. Oroz N. 24. Fattori F. 10. Lescano A. 8. Rodriguez A. 27. Molina T. 11. Herrera J.
Substitutes
11. Del Blanco M. 9. Domina J. 13. Fascendini V. 18. Gamba L. 43. Giaccone E. 26. Luduena J. 16. Martinez M. 32. Paz N. 24. Profini R. 42. Raschia M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 10. Verde L.
33. Antoni M. 30. Brondo M. 5. Cardozo J. 32. Cordero N. 14. Coronel K. 15. Gamarra A. 25. Gomez L. 7. Rodriguez S. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 18. Sosa I. 6. Vega R. 29. Viveros E.
Coaches
Gonzalez K.
Diez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Oroz N. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
21', Lescano A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pitton M. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
58', Pitton B. ↓, Del Blanco M. ↑,
58', Palacios J. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
58', Fragapane F. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
62', Corvalan C. 🟨,
65', Colazo A. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
68', Oroz N. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
68', Molina T. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
69', Fattori F. 🟨,
77', Martinez M. 🟨,
79', Herrera J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
83', Lescano A. ↓, Gamarra A. ↑,
85', Alvarez F. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión won 2.
Unión is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Argentinos Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Unión: Angulo J.
(Knee Injury)
Cardozo T.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Bentancourt R.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez L.
(Knee Injury)
Vega R.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Unión won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Unión won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:0 (average 1.8:0).
Argentina
Usa
World
Watch
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Tagliamonte M. (G) 
Ham E. 
Lozano L. 
Cardozo J. 
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