Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Unión Santa Fe		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.65
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.79	2.88	2.79
	2.75	2.75	2.7
	2.63	2.88	2.63	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.6)	2.81 ↓ (2.95)	2.71 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
33.7%

Draw
32.5%

Atlético Tucumán
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

28.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 3. Corvalan C. 11. Del Blanco M. 9. Domina J. 7. Fragapane F. 22. Gerometta F. 8. Ham E. 16. Martinez M. 34. Pardo F. 32. Paz N. 28. Pitton M.	25. Durso T. (G) 8. Acosta G. 9. Bajamich M. 37. Coronel M. 19. Estigarribia M. 6. Ferrari G. 32. Infante J. 17. Lopez K. 4. Martinez D. 13. Ortiz M. 18. Tesuri R.
Substitutes
19. Angulo J. 13. Fascendini V. 18. Gamba L. 43. Giaccone E. 26. Luduena J. 14. Pitton 42. Raschia M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 10. Verde L.	16. Brandan M. 29. Cabrera L. 11. Castro N. 3. de los Santos M. 10. Franco N. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 23. Lamendola 41. Melo R. 39. Orihuela M. 7. Rodriguez L. 22. Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 🟨,
39', Durso T. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Domina J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Del Blanco M. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Gerometta F. ⚽,
47', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
61', Fragapane F. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
61', Martinez M. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
61', Domina J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
66', Bajamich M. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
66', Coronel M. ↓, Melo R. ↑,
66', Estigarribia M. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
66', Acosta G. ↓, Orihuela M. ↑,
66', Tesuri R. ↓, Lamendola ↑,
66', Martinez D. ↓, Brandan M. ↑,
66', Infante J. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
66', Ortiz M. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
67', Lopez K. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
74', Ferrari G. ↓, de los Santos M. ↑,
79', 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Unión won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:21 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Tucumán - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Serie Rio de la Plata
11.01.25	Unión Santa Fe - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.12.24	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Unión Santa Fe - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Platense - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Unión Santa Fe - Talleres de Córdoba	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLL
- Atlético Tucumán
Serie Rio de la Plata
14.01.25	Universidad Católica - Atlético Tucumán	3:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.12.24	Atlético Tucumán - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
09.12.24	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
02.12.24	Atlético Tucumán - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.11.24	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	1:0
30.06.23	Atlético Tucumán - Unión Santa Fe	1:0
17.10.22	Atlético Tucumán - Unión Santa Fe	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.02.22	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.11.21	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.21	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	2:2
05.12.20	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	3:5

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