Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Estudiantes La Plata		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.33
	1.88	3.45	4.1	Watch
	1.89	3.46	4.29	Watch
	1.86	3.46	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.79)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	4.23 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
50.4%

Draw
27.3%

Belgrano
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 6. Nunez S. 26. Funes Mori R. 13. Benedetti G. 5. Ascacibar S. 8. Gabriel Neves 22. Castro A. 7. Sosa J. 27. Alario L. 11. Farias F.	40. Vicentini M. (G) 4. Lopez E. 37. Troilo M. 2. Leguizamon A. 6. Grillo F. 5. Longo S. 15. Menossi L. 11. Gonzalez F. 22. Fernandez N. 9. Passerini L. 29. Jara F.
Substitutes
32. Amondarain M. 18. Cetre E. 23. Gimenez L. 4. Gomez R. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 24. Kociubinski B. 19. Manyoma A. 16. Mendez M. 29. Perez Fabricio 35. Pierani V. 21. Piovi L. 2. Rodriguez F.	16. Castro T. 1. Chicco I. (G) 24. Dattola A. 34. Heredia G. 51. Hernandes R. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Meriano N. 65. Ocampo A. 52. Oses M. 19. Quignon F. 12. Sanchez U. 20. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Castro A. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
18', Lopez E. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Farias F. ↓, Perez Fabricio ↑,
46', Meza E. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
46', Sosa J. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
46', Passerini L. ↓, Quignon F. ↑,
49', Heredia G. 🟨,
53', Jara F. 🟨,
67', Gonzalez F. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
75', Gabriel Neves ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
80', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
86', Menossi L. ↓, Sanchez U. ↑,
90+1', Troilo M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Estudiantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Estudiantes have a series of guest games.

In this match Estudiantes is a favorite.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Boselli S. (Hamstring Injury) Mendez M. (Injury)

There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A. (Injury) Compagnucci G. (Red Card) Cravero T. (Inactive) Lucco J. (Hamstring Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:19 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 1.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Carabobo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.03.25	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTLW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.03.25	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Belgrano - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.12.24	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	2:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.01.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	1:0
17.08.23	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	4:0
Copa Argentina
13.07.22	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.18	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
20.04.18	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	0:1

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