Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	ViX Latin America


	Belgrano		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.2	Watch
	2.45	2.92	3.2	Watch
	2.52	3.1	3.34
	2.5	2.82	3.35
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.45	2.97	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.31)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	3.24 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
38.6%

Draw
32.2%

Unión Santa Fe
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

30.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Unión will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Unión (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Unión (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Unión (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 1 - 20%). Unión (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 14. Morales L. 2. Maldonado A. 17. Lopez L. 3. Sporle A. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 5. Longo S. 21. Sanchez A. 11. Gonzalez F. 22. Fernandez N. 24. Rigoni E.	21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C.
Substitutes
26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 45. Falcon A. 37. Gutierrez L. 51. Hernandes R. 42. Lucco J. 13. Ocampo A. 16. Ricca F. 15. Tulian R. 20. Vazquez F. 53. Velazquez J. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 30. Zelarayan G.	4. Alvarez E. 9. Colazo A. 3. Corvalan C. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 10. Gonzalez T. 5. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 32. Paz N. 23. Solari A.
Coaches
Zielinski R.	Madelon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Gonzalez F. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
60', Fernandez N. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
60', Morales L. ↓, Falcon A. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽, Rigoni E. (A),
68', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
69', Cuello B. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
69', Profini R. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
76', Zelarayan L. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
77', Menossi L. 🟨,
86', Pitton M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
86', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
86', Fragapane F. 🟨,
90', Vargas L. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
90+1', Rigoni E. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
90+5', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Hernandes R. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.

Belgrano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Unión has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Belgrano might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Unión: Aguirre M. (Ankle Injury) Gomes Gerth F. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1.4:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Belgrano - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.8%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Unión Santa Fe - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 28.09%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Barracas Central - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Belgrano - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTW
- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Unión Santa Fe - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.25	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	0:0
02.05.25	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	1:1
09.08.24	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.04.24	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	1:2
12.11.23	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	4:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.04.23	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	0:3
Club Friendly
18.01.23	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	0:2

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