Match Info

RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)

Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Ural		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.51	3.37	2.21
	3.38	3.48	2.11
	3.25	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.56)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)	2.17 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural
28.1%

Draw
28.1%

Spartak Moscow
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

26.3%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.7%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3%	9.1%	87.9%

Ural - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Spartak Moscow will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pomazun I. (G) 15. Kulakov D. 2. Begic S. 16. Italo 22. Beveev M. 8. Miskic D. 55. Ayupov T. 25. Kiki 5. Egorychev A. 79. Kashtanov A. 7. Yushin A.	88. Svinov I. (G) 97. Denisov D. 68. Litvinov R. 14. Dzhikiya G. 2. Reabciuk O. 47. Zobnin R. 35. Martins Pereira C. 19. Medina J. 77. Bongonda T. 7. Sobolev A. 10. Promes Q.
Substitutes
10. Bicfalvi E. 40. Burkin D. 44. Cisse I. 21. Dmitriev I. 4. Emerson 97. Ishkov I. 71. Mamin A. (G) 42. Mosin E. K. 9. Schettine G. 75. Sungatulin F. 14. Zheleznov Y.	9. Balde K. 23. Chernov N. 4. Duarte A. 22. Ignatov M. 82. Khlusevich D. 5. Klassen L. 98. Maksimenko A. (G) 70. Meleshin P. 8. Moses V. 25. Prutsev D. 18. Umyarov N. 17. Zinkovskiy A.
Coaches
Goncharenko V.	Abascal G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ural won 1.

Ural is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spartak M in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Spartak M will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ural: Cisse I. (Injury) Filipenko E. (Injury) Gazinskiy Y. (Shoulder Injury) Shatov O. (Injury) Shcherbitskiy D. (Injury)

There will not play in Spartak M: Tavares T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ural: Bicfalvi E. (Injury) Vloet R. (Heel Injury)

Last 25 head-to-head matches Ural won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 22-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Ural won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian Cup
08.08.23	Ural - Rostov	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
05.08.23	Orenburg - Ural	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Ural - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.07.23	Lokomotiv Moscow - Ural	2:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
22.07.23	Ural - CSKA Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWTLW
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Cup
08.08.23	Spartak Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	5:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
05.08.23	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	1:4 ✺
31.07.23	Spartak Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.07.23	Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
23.07.23	Spartak Moscow - Orenburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
04.04.23	Ural - Spartak Moscow	2:1
14.03.23	Spartak Moscow - Ural	1:1
Russian Premier League
04.03.23	Spartak Moscow - Ural	2:2
06.08.22	Ural - Spartak Moscow	0:2
07.05.22	Ural - Spartak Moscow	1:3
Club Friendly
08.02.22	Spartak Moscow - Ural	3:1
Russian Premier League
14.08.21	Spartak Moscow - Ural	1:0

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