The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 70.3%
Draw 18%
Orenburg 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.9%
18.7%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.5%
17.8%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-1%)
Spartak Moscow - Orenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Maksimenko A. (G) 83. Fernandes G. 3. Wooh C. 4. Djiku A. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 18. Umyarov N. 7. Solari P. 25. Prutsev D. 19. Daku M. 10. Marquinhos 9. Ugalde M.
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 24. Sivis M. 78. Kul R. 5. Tataev A. (C) 26. Tsenov E. 3. Vedernikov D. 8. Puebla D. 6. Palacios J. 57. Bolotov E. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 30. Guzina G.
Substitutes
97. Denisov D. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 82. Khlusevich D. 24. Massalyga N. 33. Parada V. 62. Polekh P. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 17. Saus V. 40. Sorokin I.
19. Alexandre Jesus 21. Bosch B. 7. Gonzalez J. 65. Ivashchenko I. 77. Kasadzhikov A. 38. Kasimov A. 95. Khodanovich A. (G) 4. Khotulev D. 63. Minatulaev O. 11. Nazarenko E. 2. Poroykov S. 80. Pykhcheev M.
Coaches
Carcedo J. C.
Akhmetzyanov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Vedernikov D. 🟨,
41', Daku M. 🟨,
45+2', Palacios J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Carcedo J. C. 🟨,
59', Guzina G. 🟨,
59', Wooh C. 🟨,
60', Akhmetzyanov I. 🟨,
61', Puebla D. ↓, Nazarenko E. ↑,
61', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Kasadzhikov A. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Kul R. ⚽, Guzina G. (A),
69', Prutsev D. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Daku M. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Guzina G. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
77', Umyarov N. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
77', Bolotov E. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
83', Minatulaev O. 🟨,
86', Sivis M. 🟨,
90', Ovsyannikov B. 🟨,
90+1', Tsenov E. 🟨,
90+2', Tataev A. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Spartak M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Orenburg has had a series of away games.
In this match, Spartak M is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Spartak M: Zorin D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Spartak M: Martins C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Orenburg: Gonzalez J.
(Injury)
Nazarenko E.
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 2.4:1).
Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Russia
Serbia
Usa
Watch
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Maksimenko A. (G) 
Fernandes G. 
Wooh C. 
Djiku A. 
Solari P. 
Daku M. 
Marquinhos 
Ugalde M. 
Sivis M. 
Tsenov E. 
Palacios J. 
Guzina G. 
Parada V. 
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