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Current Win Probability
Rubin Kazan 22%
Draw 26.9%
Spartak Moscow 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
25.9%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
24.5%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubin Kazan's form might have worsened.
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 13. Urozov J. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 2. Teslenko E. 12. Arroyo A. 6. Iwu U. 14. Saavedra I. 71. Samoshnikov I. 22. Hodza V. 43. Siwe J. 51. Rozhkov I.
1. Pomazun I. (G) 97. Denisov D. 4. Djiku A. 3. Wooh C. 33. Parada V. 25. Prutsev D. 18. Umyarov N. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 17. Saus V. 40. Sorokin I. 27. Dmitriev I.
Substitutes
23. Bezrukov R. 11. Gripshi N. 8. Jocic B. 77. Jukic A. 70. Kabutov D. 86. Korets N. (G) 44. Kuznetsov D. 98. Lobov N. 3. Maldonado D. 59. Motorin D. N. 4. Nizhegorodov K. 38. Staver E. (G)
6. Babic S. 19. Daku M. 71. Dobroditskiy A. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 83. Fernandes G. 68. Litvinov R. 98. Maksimenko A. (G) 10. Marquinhos 24. Massalyga N. 62. Polekh P. 7. Solari P. 9. Ugalde M.
Coaches
Artiga F.
Carcedo J. C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Vujacic I. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Siwe J. ⚽,
38', Prutsev D. 🟨,
41', Artiga F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saus V. ↓, Fernandes G. ↑,
46', Zobnin R. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
46', Sorokin I. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
49', Fernandes G. 🟨,
54', Samoshnikov I. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽, Fernandes G. (A),
63', Denisov D. ↓, Litvinov R. ↑,
63', Siwe J. 🟨,
68', Hodza V. ↓, Gripshi N. ↑,
76', Prutsev D. ↓, Daku M. ↑,
79', Gripshi N. 🟨,
81', Iwu U. ↓, Lobov N. ↑,
81', Rozhkov I. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
90+2', Teslenko E. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 1.
Rubin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Spartak M is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Spartak M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Spartak M is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).
Outrights of Russian Cup for now
Spartak Moscow: 16.07% Rubin Kazan: 2.7%
Last Results with these Odds
Rubin Kazan - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 27.35%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Nigmatullin A. (G) 
Urozov J. 
Vujacic I. (C) 
Arroyo A. 
Iwu U. 
Saavedra I. 
Hodza V. 
Siwe J. 
Djiku A. 
Wooh C. 
Parada V. 
Gripshi N. 
Jocic B. 
Jukic A. 
Maldonado D. 
Fernandes G. 
Marquinhos 
Solari P. 
Ugalde M. 
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