The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ural 38.8%
Draw 30.1%
Nizhny Novgorod 31.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.3%
29.2%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
30.3%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nizhny Novgorod, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ural - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
57. Selikhov A. (G) 17. Karapuzov V. 16. Italo 2. Begic S. 15. Tikhiy D. (C) 6. Sungatulin F. 22. Leo Cordeiro 59. Kharin E. 97. Ishkov I. 37. Bondarev V. 10. Sekulic M.
30. Medvedev N. (C) 2. Aleksandrov V. 22. Kakkoev N. 3. Koledin Y. 66. Gudkov Y. 78. Kalinski N. 19. Ermakov N. 7. Bober I. 11. Popolitov G. 18. Sokolov A. 27. Grulev V.
Substitutes
19. Bayramyan K. 99. Fourrier B. 13. Kaynov M. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 18. Morozov N. 35. Prishchepa D. 43. Shoronov R. 5. Stezhko V.
15. Ektov A. 4. Evgenyev R. 91. Ignatenko V. 98. Imamov I. (G) 25. Karic S. 72. Komissarov T. 93. Lapinsky S. 8. Maiga M. 9. Sarveli V. 17. Shilnikov G. 94. Timofeev A. 80. Tsarukyan V.
Coaches
Yuran S.
Garanin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Koledin Y. 🟨,
8', Kakkoev N. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Sekulic M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Grulev V. ⚽,
31', Kalinski N. 🟨,
43', Kharin E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sokolov A. 🟨,
60', Bober I. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
63', Karapuzov V. 🟨,
68', Popolitov G. ↓, Komissarov T. ↑,
68', Koledin Y. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
69', Karapuzov V. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
69', Kharin E. ↓, Prishchepa D. ↑,
80', Begic S. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Shilnikov G. ⚽,
83', Leo Cordeiro ↓, Stezhko V. ↑,
86', Bondarev V. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
86', Tikhiy D. ↓, Fourrier B. ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', Stezhko V. 🟨,
89', Sokolov A. ↓, Maiga M. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 1st in the Promotion - Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 0.
In recent outings, Ural has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nizhny Novgorod is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Ural could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ural has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ural has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 0.4:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ural against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 0.8:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Pari NN
16
14
1
1
48:15
33
43
5
Ural
15
8
4
3
25:11
14
28
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Ural: 4.42%
Last Results with these Odds
Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 28.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.