The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avispa Fukuoka 30.1%
Draw 30.5%
Kyoto Sanga 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
29.2%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
28.6%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
57.1%
14.3%
Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Kyoto (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Kyoto (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Fujita K. (G) 16. Oka T. 3. Nara T. (C) 45. Miya D. 29. Maejima Y. 55. Maeda K. 11. Miki T. 22. Fujimoto K. 27. Michiwaki Y. 25. Kitajima Y. 7. Usui S.
21. Kakoi K. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 50. Suzuki Y. (C) 34. Henrique Trevisan 22. Sugai H. 16. Hiraoka T. 25. Yoon S. 6. Joao Pedro 44. Sato K. 9. Rafael Elias 77. Arai H.
Substitutes
5. Kamijima T. 99. Obi P. O. (G) 8. Okuno K. 32. Sani Brown A. 18. Sato S. 6. Shigemi M. 34. Shiihashi K. 15. Tsujioka Y. 33. Yamawaki K.
5. Appiah Tawiah H. 3. Asada S. 19. David 39. Hirato T. 18. Matsuda T. 94. Murakami M. (G) 48. Nakano R. 7. Okugawa M. 8. Yonemoto T.
Coaches
Tsukahara S.
Jo Gwi-Jae
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Henrique Trevisan (A),
36', Miki T. 🟨,
45+2', Oka T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Michiwaki Y. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
64', Miya D. ↓, Tsujioka Y. ↑,
65', Kitajima Y. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
67', Arai H. 🟨,
67', Fukuda S. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
67', Arai H. ↓, Appiah Tawiah H. ↑,
72', Hiraoka T. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Sani Brown A. ⚽, Miki T. (A),
80', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
84', Usui S. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
88', Sato K. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
88', Joao Pedro ↓, Asada S. ↑,
90+1', Miki T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
90+3', Tsukahara S. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Asada S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Okugawa M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Shigemi M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Rafael Elias (Penalty Awarded),
3, Maeda K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yoon S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Maejima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Matsuda T. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Nara T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Barreto
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Hashimoto Y.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).