Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 21

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.6
	1.68	3.7	4.44	Watch
	1.76	4	4.84
	1.72	3.86	4.79
	1.57	3.9	4.8
	1.71	3.93	4.79	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.69)	3.84 ↑ (3.77)	4.73 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
55.6%

Draw
24.5%

Júbilo Iwata
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 20. Sato Y. 5. Hoibraaten M. 66. Ohata A. 3. Ito A. 25. Yasui K. 47. Takeda H. 13. Watanabe R. 17. Solbakken O. 9. Linssen B.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 15. Suzuki K. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 14. Matsumoto M. 16. Leo Gomes 7. Uehara R. 37. Hirakawa R. 11. Germain R. 99. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
29. Horiuchi Y. 23. Inoue R. 30. Koroki S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 27. Panya E. 12. Thiago Santana 35. Ugajin T.	19. Bruno Jose 31. Furukawa Y. 40. Kaneko S. 3. Morioka R. 26. Nishikubo S. 24. Sugimoto M. (G) 10. Yamada H.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Ishihara H. ⚽, Ito A. (A),
45+1', Solbakken O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ricardo Graca ↓, Morioka R. ↑,
46', Hirakawa R. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Watanabe R. ⚽, Ito A. (A),
59', Matsumoto M. ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
72', Uehara R. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
73', Solbakken O. ↓, Thiago Santana ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Ito A. ⚽, Ohata A. (A),
81', Uemura H. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
82', Linssen B. ↓, Panya E. ↑,
89', Watanabe R. ↓, Ugajin T. ↑,
90', Yasui K. ↓, Horiuchi Y. ↑,
90', Sato Y. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Urawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Urawa is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Urawa won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
26.06.24	Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
22.06.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLTL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
26.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Verdy	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.06.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
19.05.24	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
13.08.22	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:6
19.03.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata	4:1
20.07.19	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:3
03.05.19	Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
15.08.18	Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata	4:0
01.04.18	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1

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