Match Info

J1 League - Round 33

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.3	3.35	2.08	Watch
	3.57	3.64	2.11
	3.36	3.41	2.11	Watch
	3.63	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.35	3.45	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
27.3%

Draw
27.1%

Vissel Kobe
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

27.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

28.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	30.8%	46.2%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 5. Hoibraaten M. 28. Nemoto K. 26. Ogiwara T. 25. Yasui K. 11. Gustafson S. 77. Kaneko T. 13. Watanabe R. 8. Matheus Savio 99. Kiese I.	1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. 15. Honda Y. 41. Nagato K. 6. Ogihara T. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 27. Erik 10. Osako Y. 11. Muto Y.
Substitutes
34. Fujiwara Y. 39. Hayakawa J. 17. Komori H. 24. Matsuo Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 14. Sekine T. 22. Shibato K. 12. Thiago	77. Gustavo Klismahn 18. Ide H. 2. Iino N. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 30. Yamauchi K. 14. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Skorza M.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Yasui K. 🟨,
41', Miyashiro T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Osako Y. ↓, Ide H. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Kiese I. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
65', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
66', Erik ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
66', Miyashiro T. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
74', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Iino N. ↑,
77', Kiese I. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
77', Gustafson S. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
77', Kaneko T. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
90', Nagato K. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
90+1', Matheus Savio ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.

Urawa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vissel Kobe is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Urawa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Vissel Kobe has had a series of home games.

Vissel Kobe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Urawa: Danilo Boza (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Caetano (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 44.11%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL
- Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League
01.10.25	Vissel Kobe - Melbourne City	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy	4:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.25	Shanghai Port - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
15.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0
28.09.24	Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
01.06.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe	1:1
12.11.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe	1:2
11.03.23	Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1
26.06.22	Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1
23.02.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe	2:2

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