Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.57	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.55
	2.68	3.05	2.62	Watch
	2.99	3.2	2.65
	2.73	3.13	2.73	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.83	3.02	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	2.6 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
33.7%

Draw
30.4%

Machida Zelvia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 14. Sekine T. 2. Miyamoto Y. 5. Nemoto K. 26. Ogiwara T. 77. Kaneko T. 25. Yasui K. 13. Watanabe R. (C) 8. Matheus Savio 45. Onaiwu A. 36. Hidano R.	1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. (C) 6. Mochizuki H. 16. Mae H. 19. Nakayama Y. 26. Hayashi K. 20. Nishimura T. 7. Soma Y. 9. Fujio S.
Substitutes
3. Danilo Boza 39. Hayakawa J. 4. Ishihara H. 9. Kiese I. 88. Naganuma Y. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 41. Nitta R. 22. Shibato K. 27. Teruuchi T.	27. Erik 31. Lavi N. 11. Masuyama A. 13. Morita T. (G) 10. Na Sang-Ho 8. Sento K. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F. 99. Yengi T.
Coaches
Skorza M.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Ogiwara T. 🟨,
9', Hayashi K. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Mochizuki H. ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hidano R. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kiese I. (A),
62', Fujio S. ↓, Erik ↑,
62', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
74', Kaneko T. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
74', Onaiwu A. ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
74', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Soma Y. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Matheus Savio ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
90', Okamura D. 🟨,
90+4', Kiese I. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place))

Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Machida Zelvia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Urawa: Komori H. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Urawa Reds: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Machida	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.36%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Machida Zelvia - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.65%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.03.26	Machida Zelvia - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.10.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia	0:0
13.04.25	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2
31.08.24	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:2
26.05.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
11.11.15	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:7

Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide