Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Cerezo Osaka		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.37
	2.87	3.31	2.34	Watch
	2.77	3.45	2.58
	3.07	3.37	2.34	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.4
	2.98	3.4	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.71)	3.37 ↑ (3.29)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
32.3%

Draw
28%

Urawa Red Diamonds
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

28.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	40%	26.7%

Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Urawa will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fukui K. (G) 16. Okuda H. 3. Shindo R. 44. Hatanaka S. 6. Noborizato K. 10. Tanaka S. 13. Nakajima M. 38. Kitano S. 77. Fernandes L. 9. Rafael Ratao 11. Thiago Andrade	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 14. Sekine T. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Hoibraaten M. 26. Ogiwara T. 25. Yasui K. 11. Gustafson S. 77. Kaneko T. 6. Matsumoto T. 8. Matheus Savio 12. Thiago
Substitutes
14. Funaki K. 8. Kagawa S. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 33. Nishio R. 48. Shibayama M. 22. Takahashi N. 7. Uejo S. 55. Vitor Bueno	9. Haraguchi G. 35. Inoue R. 4. Ishihara H. 24. Matsuo Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 21. Okubo T. 13. Watanabe R.
Coaches
Papastamatis A.	Skorza M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Thiago Andrade (A),
25', Thiago Andrade ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
33', Matheus Savio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matsumoto T. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
63', Shindo R. 🟨,
70', Matheus Savio ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
70', Gustafson S. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
81', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
81', Kitano S. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
83', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Haraguchi G. (A),
90+2', Rafael Ratao ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
90+2', Okuda H. ↓, Nishio R. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Urawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cerezo Osaka have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Urawa: Okubo T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Okuno H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28:17 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:5 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Cerezo Osaka	1:5 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	2:2 ✺
26.02.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTL
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Shonan Bellmare - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
05.10.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka	0:1
15.06.24	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1
16.07.23	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:0
04.03.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
Japan J League Cup
25.09.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka	0:4
21.09.22	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
Japan J1 League
14.09.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka	0:1

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