Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Ursaria		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	4.6
	1.78	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.84	3.3	4.58
	1.82	3.3	4.58
	1.77	3.26	4.33
	1.71	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	4.57 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
51.9%

Draw
28%

Llerenense
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

29.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

28.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Ursaria - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Ursaria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Llerenense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ursaria is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Montijo - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Ursaria - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Ursaria - Cayón	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Cacereño - Ursaria	2:3 ✺
22.10.23	Ursaria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWLWT
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Llerenense - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Llerenense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Llerenense - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Llerenense - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Llerenense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL

Ursaria - Llerenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide